$POLYCULE
token pPOLYCULElaunchingmag7prediction-marketpolymarketconcentratedopen-relationshipThe Polycule
Six mega-caps, one open relationship. We love them all, just not equally: affection is allocated daily by Polymarket's odds of who ends the year as the biggest company on earth. Currently very into Nvidia.
- NAV (indexed)
- 99.20
- 24h
- +2.40%
- 7d
- −1.09%
- 30d
- −0.66%
- TVL
- —
- Holdings
- 6
Indicative NAV, 30 days
Constant-mix index: target weights rebalanced daily, indexed to 100 at the start of the window, from daily closes of each constituent's primary on-chain variant (tokens.xyz OHLCV; CoinGecko for Solana-native tokens). Holdings without history are excluded and weights renormalised. This is not the vault's realised NAV and does not include fees or rebalance slippage.
Holdings
| Holding | Weight | Price | 24h | Liquidity | Issuer | Trust | Mint |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NVDANVIDIA | 52.1% | $219.65 | +2.94% | $4.41M | xStockscash-redeemable | Tier 2 | Xsc9…9qEh |
 AAPLApple | 22.9% | $336.59 | +1.27% | $1.23M | xStockscash-redeemable | Tier 3 | XsbE…JzJp |
 GOOGLAlphabet | 12.5% | $349.98 | +2.41% | $1.32M | xStockscash-redeemable | Tier 3 | XsCP…q6aN |
 MSFTMicrosoft | 4.2% | $496.90 | +1.45% | $1.36M | xStockscash-redeemable | Tier 3 | Xspz…dRMX |
 AMZNAmazon | 4.2% | $251.73 | +2.76% | $630.5K | xStockscash-redeemable | Tier 3 | Xs3e…LZsg |
 TSLATesla | 4.2% | $367.02 | +2.43% | $3.47M | xStockscash-redeemable | Tier 2 | XsDo…HzoB |
Weighting methodology
Prediction-market weighted. Each holding's target weight is Polymarket's live probability for its outcome, floored and capped, then renormalised. When the crowd's belief moves, the basket buys it. The market is thin enough to be nudged; that is a feature and a risk.
The crowd picks the favourites; the fund sizes by conviction. Once a day the keeper reads Polymarket's odds on which company ends 2026 as the largest on earth and turns them straight into target weights: a 4% floor so nobody gets ghosted, a 50% cap so nobody moves in entirely. The primary partner today is NVDA at roughly 50%; the secondaries (AAPL, GOOGL, MSFT, AMZN, TSLA) rotate as the odds move, and the basket only trades when a weight drifts more than 300 bps from target. Practise compersion: when a partner you hold less of rallies, its odds usually rise with it, and the next rebalance buys more of it. The risks are the honest ones: the Polymarket book is thin enough to be nudged, odds are not returns, and a basket that is half one name will behave like half one name.
- Data source
- https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/events?slug=largest-company-end-of-december-2026 (markets[].groupItemTitle -> outcomePrices[0])
- floor
- 4%
- cap
- 50%
- renormalise
- true
- fallbackSlug
- largest-company-end-of-september-1785358369147
- tickerMap
- NVIDIA: NVDA; Apple: AAPL; Alphabet: GOOGL; Microsoft: MSFT; Amazon: AMZN; Tesla: TSLA
- Rebalance
- daily, or when any holding drifts more than 300 bps from target
- Max trade
- $40,000 per swap, Jupiter routed
- Denomination
- USDC (EPjF…Dt1v)
Oracle marks
The vault values each holding off a Pyth push feed on Solana. Proxies are stated; the Voltr Spot adaptor does not check that a feed matches a mint, the keeper does.
- NVDA
- Equity.US.NVDA/USD on shard 1: third-party pushed during US market hours (Pyth stopped sponsoring Crypto.NVDAX/USD on 12 Sep 2026)
- AAPL
- Equity.US.AAPL/USD on shard 1: third-party pushed during US market hours (Pyth stopped sponsoring Crypto.AAPLX/USD on 12 Sep 2026)
- GOOGL
- Equity.US.GOOGL/USD on shard 1: third-party pushed during US market hours (Pyth stopped sponsoring Crypto.GOOGLX/USD on 12 Sep 2026)
- MSFT
- Equity.US.MSFT/USD on shard 1: third-party pushed during US market hours (Pyth stopped sponsoring Crypto.MSFTX/USD on 12 Sep 2026)
- AMZN
- Equity.US.AMZN/USD on shard 1: third-party pushed during US market hours (Pyth stopped sponsoring Crypto.AMZNX/USD on 12 Sep 2026)
- TSLA
- Equity.US.TSLA/USD on shard 1: third-party pushed during US market hours (Pyth stopped sponsoring Crypto.TSLAX/USD on 12 Sep 2026)
Rebalance log
No rebalances logged yet. The keeper starts once the vault is funded.
- Cadence
- daily
- Drift trigger
- 300 bps from target on any holding
- Max trade
- $40,000 per swap, routed by Jupiter
Risks
- Issuer risk. Each holding is a token issued by a third party (xStocks). If an issuer fails, freezes, or de-pegs, the basket eats it. Trust tiers come from tokens.xyz and are not a guarantee.
- Liquidity risk. Rebalances and redemptions route through on-chain pools. Thin liquidity means slippage, and slippage is paid by the basket.
- Smart-contract risk. Voltr vault program, Jupiter, the token programs of every issuer and the keeper's keys. Any of them can fail.
- Jurisdiction. Tokenized securities are restricted in the US, UK and elsewhere. Issuers may freeze tokens held by ineligible persons. Check before you buy.
- Tracking. The basket does not track a published index. It tracks its own rules, imperfectly, after fees and slippage.
Not investment advice. You can lose everything, including the part you thought was gold.